出典: Tenjiku RPG
Since people started racing horses there has been other people who have attempted to determine a method to evaluate the runners and also to discover the winner. Because horse races are dynamic events because of so many variables, it's almost impossible to accurately determine prior to the race exactly how each horse will run. Therefore, there isn't any method or system that always predicts the winner.
The very best horse racing systems are the ones that find you good bets. What is a good bet? A great bet is a bet with a positive expectancy, meaning that if you made that same bet 10 times you'd collect a lot more than you spent and therefore, earn profits. Good handicapping reveals good bets, but you can't tell if a wager is a good one if you don't know the odds at post time and even the possibility of a runner winning the race.
Anybody who lets you know that she or he can invariably let you know who the winner may be isn't around the level. The best handicappers who immerse themselves in horse racing and may tell you the lineage of every runner and just what they had for breakfast can't do this. It becomes a matter of percentages and probabilities and that's where the best systems shine. They identify horses that could set off at of sufficient length odds to ensure they are a profitable bet.
It all starts with evaluations of each runner after which comparing these to each other. For example, if you are comparing speed figures and you write them in a hierarchal list from better to worst, you then know which horse has been running the quickest lately. However, you also have to then do a comparison to find just how much faster each horse may be compared to the fastest horse and the other runners too.
You then must pick which factors are the most significant based on the kind of race you're handicapping. Speed matters more in maiden races compared to turf races for older horses as well as your method must make adjustments for that. As you can see it might be so complicated that a wise horse player knows that nothing will work constantly.
It's easier to adjust the amounts you wager so that you can continue for a long time and intend on using the percentages to your benefit on the big enough sample of horses and races to give the system and its edge time for you to work for you.
Therefore, the best systems are the ones that don't make promises about fast profits or easy money, but rather, locating the edge and using that edge to make a profit. There are no guarantees, however and you should never take more chances than you can afford to lose.